Voting Changes between the 2016 and 2020 Presidential Elections in Counties Across the United States with Large Latino-Origin Populations

Authors

Laird W. Bergad, Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino StudiesFollow

Document Type

Report

Publication Date

2-2021

Abstract

Introduction:

This report examines trends in votes cast between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in 1) the 101 counties in the United States in which Latinos comprised 50% or more of total populations; and 2) in the 35 counties in the U.S. which had the largest Latino populations.These latter counties were home to 50% of all Latinos living in the United States according to 2019 census data.

Methods:

Exit polling data from 2016 and 2020, American Community Survey (2019)

Discussion:

Of the 101 counties in which Latino populations were more than half of all residents, the Republican candidate won 66 (65.3% of all counties) and increased his number of votes by 54% from the 2016 presidential election. President Biden received 29% more votes in 2020 than candidate Clinton received in 2016 in these same counties, a substantially lower increase. Of the 35 counties in the U.S. with the largest Latino populations, Democrats won 33 of them (94%). However, total Republican votes in these counties increased by 43% while votes for the Democratic candidate rose by 31% between 2016 and 2020.

Comments

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